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Anti-“Cuckservatives” + Kochservatives = Today’s Republican Party?

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From the insurgent outlier party that went off the right-wing extremist deep end a while ago and keeps on going, now comes a disgusting new term that only warped minds could think up:

As Republican presidential candidates offered careful answers to questions about education, immigration and foreign policy at last week’s debate, streams of tweets panned their responses as too soft or disingenuous. Senator Marco Rubio is beholden to corporate interests, one said. Former Gov. Jeb Bush is weak on immigration, crowed another. Many of them were adorned with a cryptic hashtag bearing a new word: “cuckservative.”

The phrase has caught on among a segment of disaffected Republicans, some of whom hold white nationalist ideologies and who feel many of the party’s presidential candidates are not conservative enough. And they are frustrated by the willingness of Republicans in general to compromise on a variety of issues, like spending or the Confederate battle flag, or they accuse them of being beholden to their donors…

…But what does the word actually mean?

Cuckservative is an amalgamation of the word cuckold – the husband of an adulterous woman – and conservative.

The implication is that mainstream Republicans, like jilted husbands, are facing humiliation and have lost sight of their futures.

The Southern Poverty Law Center, which monitors hate groups, called the term the “ultimate insult” that the white nationalist movement can deliver to politicians who they feel have veered too far to the left. “The term, at its core, may be racist,” the group said.

So this is seriously demented stuff, no doubt. What’s frightening is that the “community of conservatives who think Republicans should be racists” apparently constitute “a relatively sizable number of people” in the Republican base. Here in Virginia, there are numerous examples of these types. For instance, recently Shaun Kenney, the former Executive Director of the Republican Party of Virginia, called for a “long overdue” “Republican civil war” against “rank nativists and racists” in the party. Kenney specifically called out Jeanine Martin, but he could have just as easily mentioned many others, including that party’s 2013 gubernatorial nominee, Ken Cuccinelli, who infamously compared “our immigration policy” to breaking up “rat families.” Then there’s the chair of the RPV, John Whitbeck, who likes telling anti-Semitic “jokes.” Since we’re close to the 11th anniversary of George Allen’s famous “macaca moment,” let’s not forget him either. Let’s also not forget Republican Women of Clifton Make Racist “Joke” About “Barocky Road” Obama or Virginia Beach Republican Committee Chair Forwards Racist Email or…we could go on all day, really, and that’s not even counting national Republican racists and xenophobes like Donald Trump, the front runner right now for the party’s 2016 presidential nomination, along with his millions of rabid supporters.

So yeah, it’s no surprise that the party of the racist “Southern Strategy,” of “Willie Horton,” of Teabaggers holding virulently racist signs and chanting virulently racist slogans against the nation’s first African-American President at their rallies, is filled with racists, nativists, etc.  

But what about the rest of the Republican Party? There are good, decent, non-extreme people there, right? Well…maybe not, if you consider that most of the 2016 presidential candidates (and most other Republican politicians these days) are happy to pander to the Koch brothers and what they stand for: massive taxpayer-funded corporate welfare/croney capitalism, the takeover of our (former?) democracy by the super-rich, the well-connected, the big corporations, the polluters, etc.

I mean, here in Virginia, the Speaker of the House, Bill Howell, is a prominent member of ALEC, another corporate front group whose goals including trashing our democracy and our planet. And Howell’s not an isolated case by any means; to the contrary, as far as I can determine, Howell represents the vast majority of the non-nativist, non-racist portion of today’s GOP. In short, add up the anti-“cuckservatives” and the Kochservatives (Kochsuckers?), and you have the vast majority of today’s Republican Party. What’s left? A handful of true “libertarians,” perhaps? Some non-racist, non-natives, non-Kochservative social conservatives and theocrats? A few remaining “country club Republicans” (although some of those are pretty close to, if not fully part of, “Kochservative” territory)? Anything else I’m missing? Yeah, it’s a hell of a party, today’s GOP. Let’s just all make damn sure they never win the White House…

Friday News: Jeb Says Taking Out Saddam “Pretty Good Deal;” Ben Carson Did Fetal Tissue Research

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Here are a few national and Virginia news headlines, political and otherwise, for Friday, August 14. Also, notice anything wrong with that map? Yeah, why’s Virginia – with enormous offshore (and some onshore) wind power resources – blank?

*Jeb Bush: ‘Taking Out Saddam Hussein Turned Out To Be A Pretty Good Deal’ (This guy is supposed to be the “smart Bush?” LOL)

*Al Gore Insiders “Figuring Out If There’s A Path” For Him To Run (Well that would certainly be interesting…)

*Iowa surprise: Trump is actually trying to win

*Can Jeb Bush ever escape his brother’s shadow? (“His brother’s name is already hurting him. His brother’s policies will hurt him more.”)

*Ben Carson just made life very hard for the GOP: Why his fetal tissue research matters (“Ben Carson’s involvement with fetal tissue research is a big problem for the GOP’s fight against Planned Parenthood”)

*Ben Carson Revives Conspiracy Theory About Planned Parenthood And Eugenics (Same thing with E.W. Jackson and Ken Cuccinelli.)

*The Hillary Clinton double standard in a nutshell: Why aren’t we talking about Jeb’s email scandal too?

*Donald Trump is the last whimper of the angry white man: What’s really behind his stubborn lead (“Movement conservatives are at war with modernity — and Trump promises to deliver them from it” They’re also at war with anyone who’s not an angry white heterosexual man.)

*McAuliffe going far for Clinton, but it could be problematic at home

*McDonnell asks to stay out of prison as he takes legal battle to Supreme Court

*GOP lawmakers question proposed changes in voter registration form (The only goal should be to make it EASIER for people to vote. Anything that makes it harder, with the lame excuse of mythical “voter fraud” or whatever, should be unacceptable.)

*24 past Virginia Bar presidents criticize dustup over Supreme Court appointment

*The Virginia GOP plays a partisan game with taxpayer money (“So why, in the resulting litigation over the map, have Virginia taxpayers been stuck with Mr. Marston’s $224,000 legal bill, rather than his then-employer, the Republican Party?”)

*2002 AG ruling says Virginia court databases are public

*Opinion: Voters should oust anyone who opposes Virginians access to public information

*Virginia craft brewers call for updated state regulations

*Nearing success on Oceana development

*Confusion over land access continues as pipeline surveyors charged with trespassing

*Giants silence the Nationals again (This season is starting to slip away…sigh.)

*D.C. area forecast: Humidity reprieve continues as sunshine dominates and temperatures head up

More Extremism, Lunacy from Sen. Dick “Baby Pesticide” Black (R-Koch Brothers)

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Just as an intro to this Loudoun Times-Mirror article, let me just remind you of who Virginia State Senator Dick Black is and what he’s said/done over the years. A few “highlights” include: What Is It With Loudoun Republicans?!? Dick Black on Spousal Rape, “Nighties,” etc., The Truth About Dick Black (e.g., called birth control pills “baby pesticides,” passed out “pink plastic fetus dolls to state lawmakers in 2003 in a creepy campaign to win votes for various anti-abortion measures,” called “An Embarrassment to us all” by John Feegel, a former Chief of Staff to the Republican Leader in the Virginia House of Delegates); Republican Loudoun-sanity Continues: Dick Black Rails Against Gays in the Military (“there was a young fellow who went to the showers at night, there were two homosexuals lurking — they were also basic trainees – and they strangled him with a towel and forced him to submit to, you know, things that we won’t talk about”); Sen. Dick Black (R-Homophobia): Polygamy “just more natural” than homosexuality; VA Sen. Dick Black (R) Praises “Extraordinary Gallantry” of Syrian Armed Forces, GOP Candidate Who Made Marital Rape Remarks Drops Out of Congressional Race, etc, etc. Oh, and just this week, PolitiFact Virginia slapped a “Pants on Fire” rating on Black for charging that his Democratic opponent, Dr. Jill McCabe, “supports selling late term abortions for bigger body parts.” Yep, the guy’s crazier than a s***house rat!

Now, add to that list Black’s belief, as reported by the Loudoun Times-Mirror, that the Environmental Protection Agency – set up by Republican Richard Nixon, by the way – is supposedly “as close to Bolshevik communists as anybody you will ever meet…They are extreme to the Nth degree.” Black also flat-out lies about the Clean Power Plan (CPP), falsely claiming that under it, “electric bills for individuals and businesses will go up 20 percent” (in fact, numerous analyses have shown that power bills will either stay roughly flat or actually go DOWN under the CPP). Black also dismisses global warming – which 99% of climate scientists agree is real, dangerous, and is caused by man’s burning of fossil fuel – as a “theology,” “kind of hokey,” and “silly from the outset.” He repeats a Big Lie favorite of crazy climate science deniers, that supposedly temperatures haven’t increased “in the past 17 years.” And he even manages to dismiss the booming clean energy industry, which has seen prices fall to the point that wind and solar are now cheaper than fossil fuels in many parts of the country, as “wind and solar scams.”

The bottom line: Dick Black is an extremist nutjob who has no business holding any public office, let alone State Senator. Fortunately, Democrats have an excellent alternative in Dr. Jill McCabe, who I urge everyone to support with volunteer time, donations, your vote (if you live in the district), etc. Come November, can we PLEASE say goodbye to Dick Black from Virginia public office once and for all?

P.S. Also note that Black was spouting these extreme and crazy views…yep, speaking of corrupt, at “an Americans for Prosperity grassroots event” (that’s an oxymoron by the way). Note that Americans for Prosperity is “a right-wing political advocacy group founded by billionaire brothers David and Charles Koch, the owners of Koch Industries,” and other fossil fuel interests. Not surprisingly, given that solar and wind are starting to eat fossil fuels’ lunch, that industry is not exactly friendly to clean energy, or to science which definitively proves that the product it peddles is destroying the planet…

Defending Gov. McAuliffe: A Proposal on the Virginia Supreme Court Justice, Redistricting

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The GOP thinks they have T-Mac over a barrel. Here is a conceptual proposal to fight back.

By Paul Goldman

Governor McAuliffe, as all Virginia chief executive’s before him, exercised his constitutional authority to appoint Jane Marum Roush, formerly a judge on the Fairfax Circuit Court, to the Virginia Supreme Court. A vacancy in the High Court occurred while the State Legislature was not in Session. Pursuant to the Virginia Constitution, Governor McAuliffe filled the vacancy with now Justice Roush on July 27. The Republican dominated State Legislature cried foul on the ground he had not first sought their advice before making the appointment. Pursuant to a federal court order, the Governor has called the General Assembly into Special Session starting Monday to redraw new congressional district boundaries to replace the ones declared unconstitutional earlier this month.

Once in session, the Virginia constitution permits the General Assembly to exercise its power to replace – if it so chooses – Justice Roush, whose gubernatorial appointment only had temporary legal effect unless approved by the General Assembly.

The Republicans had asked the federal court to delay their Special Session order until the U.S. Supreme Court decided whether to hear the GOP’s appeal asking the Justices to overturn the lower’ federal court’s redistricting decision. But the U.S. Supreme Court denied this appeal on August 5th.

This, then, is the very unique chain of events that apparently will lead to Justice Roush having the shortest Virginia Supreme Court tenure in history. If dumped, she would not be able to reclaim her old Fairfax Court position. This apparently is unprecedented at least in modern times.

In attacking the Governor, the GOP is selling “wolf tickets” in this matter. We are surprised so many have bought this Republican spin.

But do the logic.  It doesn’t take Bobby Fischer to see through this GOP spin move.

If the Governor had talked to GOP Legislative Leaders, he would have in effect given them a veto of his choice. Why?

Let’s be real: The GOP would have told the Governor they didn’t want Rouse, and would have asked him to find someone else. This would leave the Governor with two choices. If he appointed her over their objections, the GOP would reject her later and blame their action on his failure to listen to them. That is to say: The GOP would have said McAuliffe brought it on himself.

But what about option two? If, on the other hand, he refused to nominate her in hopes of placating the GOP, then in effect they would hold a veto over his choice.

Accordingly, the Governor did the right thing: He appointed the person he thought best for the job. But for the Special Session, she would have had a chance to build a record and thus it would have been harder for the GOP to justify dumping her.

The point being: Those saying McAuliffe should have asked for the GOP’s advice are in effect turning the Governor into a legislative errand boy. Governor McAuliffe therefore did the right thing in making his pick his way. That’s his job. If the state legislature wants to reject it, then so be it: the Governor can’t control what they will do.

Is the General Assembly playing hardball here? Of course they are, that’s the nature of politics. They think they have the Governor over a barrel.

I disagree. My advice to T-MAC is this: Show them Democrats can play the game too.

First, he should cancel the Special Session starting August 17.

Second, he should petition the federal court for a delay to allow him to first create a non-partisan Committee to draft the required new congressional redistricting plan. Since the GOP wanted a delay, they can hardly object. The Governor should tell the federal court the public wants to remove redistricting from the partisan process. By using this opportunity, the Governor believes his non-partisan redistricting Committee will show such an approach can benefit Virginia.

Third, since the federal court gave the Governor until September 1 to call the Special Session, he is within his rights to cancel the Special Session and make his appeal for a non-partisan body to draft the new plan.

Fourth, if the lower court refuses his request, he can appeal to the Supreme Court on federalism grounds, saying the Federal judiciary should give state’s the widest possible latitude on redistricting, an inherently state function. There are several Justices who have indicated an interest in removing partisan politics from this “gerrymandering” process. He might very well find the 4 needed to force the Supreme Court to hear his appeal.

These practical and principled proposal points if adopted by the Governor and the courts will still insure new congressional district lines in time for the 2016 elections while at the same time keeping Justice Roush on the bench until the General Assembly meets in Regular Session next January. Again: She will have a fuller record as a Justice, and it would be harder for the Republicans to play hardball partisan politics with her job.

Partisan politics is increasingly becoming a factor in judicial appointments on all sides. The public isn’t happy with this development, the same with the politics of drawing such partisan district lines so as to basically eliminate most competition on that federal level, the same for the state legislative level.

The GOP leaders in the General Assembly think they have the Governor in a position where he can’t move. The proposal here is to suggest he can fight back.

Yes, it’s a conceptual analysis. But that is first necessary before deciding whether it can be implemented in a practical and timely fashion at this point.

The Governor made a solid choice for the Virginia Supreme Court and did it in the time-honored manner. That’s what he should have done.

The GOP is using its constitutional power to challenge the Governor. I get it. But as the proposal here indicates, there is a way to fight back, at least conceptually.

Virginia Democrats Call on John Whitbeck to Denounce Party Insider’s Racial Slurs

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From DPVA:

It's been over a week since Jeanine Martin, a prominent Virginia Republican activist, went on a tirade against immigrants, using racial slurs to describe, in particular, Asian-American immigrants. Martin's remarks were met with disgust and condemnation from a wide variety of Virginians. Yet, John Whitbeck, Chairman of the Republican Party of Virginia, has not said anything on the issue.
In response to his silence, Dewita Soeharjono, Chair of the Democratic Party of Virginia's Asian-American Caucus, released the following statement:
"It is extremely disappointing to see such a delayed and lackluster response from the Republican Party of Virginia to the use of racial slurs by one of their party leaders. It is particularly disappointing that Chairman Whitbeck has been completely absent from the conversation, especially given his own troubled relationship with inappropriate remarks about minorities.

We've heard a lot of talk from the RPV about becoming friendlier to minority voters, but that effort rings hollow if Chairman Whitbeck can't even condemn racial slurs from his own ranks. Where does he stand? Does he tolerate this kind of behavior?" 

Thursday News: Trump Exposes “sickening rot at the core of the GOP”

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>Here are a few national and Virginia news headlines, political and otherwise, for Thursday, August 13. Also, great to see Black Lives Matter activists protesting Jeb Bush, who richly deserves it.

*CNN / ORC Poll: Trump tops in Iowa as Scott Walker drops

*Jimmy Carter says he has cancer that has spread (Sad; Carter has been one of the best, if not THE best, ex-presidents in U.S. history.)

*Why the rise of Trump means death for the Republican Party (Let’s hope.)

*Outsiders take over GOP

*Donald Trump mocks Rand Paul, calls on him to quit presidential race

*The Pentagon Just Realized It Gave Too Much Military Equipment To The Ferguson Police (Ya think?)

*Ted Cruz’s grotesque demagoguery: Planned Parenthood prosecutions, polio and American “values” (“A very confused Ted Cruz says he’ll prosecute Planned Parenthood over its (completely legal) tissue donations”)

*Donald Trump’s biggest crime is his honesty: How he exposes the sickening rot at the core of the GOP (“Republicans has spent decades dressing up fear as courage, pretending at seriousness while advancing hysteria”)

*Why Hillary’s Email Saga Hurts (“It is giving Republicans the perfect opportunity to highlight her least appealing qualities.”)

*Drone industry taking off in Virginia

*Republicans prepare for redistricting session (“It appears unlikely that the process will continue into the next day. Rather, Republicans, who control the House of Delegates and the Virginia Senate, are expected to adjourn after Monday’s hearings and then return the following week or the last day of the month to finish the process by the court-ordered deadline.”)

*Doug Wilder blasts McAuliffe on handling of Supreme Court pick

*Reinvention through ignorance of history (This is one of the dumbest editorials I’ve read in a long time. There’s nothing at all wrong with Democrats changing the name of their annual dinner from a slaveowner and the guy who presided over the genocidal “Trail of Tears.”)

*Local firefighters working for the Navy say manpower shortage has exhausted them

*Fairfax County Candidate Assaulted While Campaigning Drops Charges After Apology

*Arlington, Alexandria residents to consider sharing a pool, fitness center (Sounds like a very smart idea.)

*TSA moving headquarters from Arlington to Alexandria complex

*Richmond mayor calls news conference to outline future for slave-history site

*Dodgers blank Nats for second straight night (This is becoming predictable; when the Nats face great or even excellent pitching, they simply can’t hit.)

*D.C. area forecast: Sun-soaked days through the weekend but humidity slowly seeps back in

Governor McAuliffe Statement on Redistricting Special Session

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From Gov. McAuliffe’s office:

RICHMOND – Governor Terry McAuliffe issued the following statement as the General Assembly begins preparation for a special session on redistricting starting Monday, August 17th:

“It is encouraging to learn that House leaders are willing to proceed with the redistricting process ordered by the federal courts, and even more heartening to see that the Speaker of the House now acknowledges that the Third Congressional District is flawed, after spending hundreds of thousands of dollars in taxpayer funds to deny that very fact.

“However, I am concerned that House leaders seem to believe that tinkering with portions of one district is a remedy to the Constitutional violations found by the U.S. District Court, on two occasions. The Court has ruled that the Third District is unconstitutionally tainted by racial gerrymandering. Indeed, the entire redistricting process was poisoned by unlawful manipulation of voting patterns based on racial demographics. Any effort to remedy that violation with minor tweaks to a fundamentally flawed map will necessarily remain tangled in racial consideration and therefore remain illegal. The only remedy that could survive Court challenge is one that starts fresh and draws new maps based on the principles of equal representation, compact and contiguous districts, and the integrity of communities of interest.

“It is crucial that all lawmakers return to the state Capitol committed to a serious and credible process that is responsive to the U.S. District Court’s clear and unequivocal ruling and, more important, to the demands of the citizens of Virginia. That is why I called the General Assembly into session.  I hope the legislators understand the nature of the job before them.”

Did Political Pundits See the Chaotic 2016 Presidential Primaries Coming?

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Unless you live inside a cave, under a rock, somewhere outside of internet or radio communications range, you’re probably well aware that there are heated races for the 2016 presidential nominations currently raging in both the Republican and Democratic parties right now. We’ve also seen the rise of populists and other “outsiders” like Donald Trump on the Republican side and Bernie Sanders (not really an “outsider” but feels like one in many ways) on the Democratic side. One thing’s for sure: there definitely don’t appear to be any “shoo-ins” or “clear-the-field” candidates right now.

So, you might assume that the people paid the big bucks to study this stuff day in/day out, prognosticate about it, analyze it, etc. would have seen at least some of this coming. Perhaps they might have picked up on voter restlessness and even anger out there? But did they? Let’s look back at a few of the political prognosticators and “insiders” and see what they were saying in 2013, 2014 and early 2015…and how well their predictions have panned out so far.

We’ll start with Washington Post’s Chris Cillizza, simply because he’s one of the most prolific and widely read political pundits around. Back on July 30, 2014, Cillizza wrote that “the idea that Bush would either a) clear the field or b) emerge as the un-questioned frontrunner — ala Clinton — simply isn’t born out in the polling or the policy positions.” Cillizza added, “Bush is a strong potential candidate for president, but he is nowhere close to Clinton’s status as a shoo-in if he runs.” Cillizza certainly turned out to be right about Bush not clearing the field or emerging as the unquestioned frontrunner, but it’s looking increasingly like that he was wrong about Clinton being any kind of “shoo-in,” let alone clearing the Democratic field.

On July 18, 2014, Cillizza wrote, “Every passing week makes one thing abundantly clear: Hillary Clinton is going to be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2016.” As for Bernie Sanders, Cillizza brushed him off at the time in one sentence, noting, “Socialist Sen. Bernie Sanders seems intent on running, largely to push his belief in the need for serious campaign finance reform.” Yeah…no, not a good prediction on either count (although Clinton still has got to be the favorite, I would certainly not say point blank at this point that she “is going to be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2016.”

Going back a bit further in time to Feb. 15, 2013, Cillizza ranked the 2016 Democratic contenders, with Clinton #1 as the “clear favorite,” followed by Joe Biden (a reasonable prediction at the time), Andrew Cuomo, Martin O’Malley, Deval Patrick, Mark Warner, Janet Napolitano (really?), Kirsten Gillibrand, Brian Schweitzer and Elizabeth Warren. Notice who’s not on that list? Right, no mention whatsoever of Bernie Sanders or of the progressive/populist movement he’s leading. Oh well. Finally, let’s look back to Feb. 8, 2013, with Cillizza’s “first rankings of the 2016 Republican presidential field!” This list had a bunch of folks in it, many of whom are now candidates, but none of whom are named “Donald Trump” (or “Carly Fiorina” or “Ben Carson” or “Ted Cruz” — all of whom are in the top tier of the polls at this point).  

I like Steve Kornacki, but his Feb. 27, 2013 prediction is looking a bit shaky right now: “I would say there’s a decent chance Clinton actually could clear the field and face no serious opposition for the nomination…I’m not calling Clinton a shoo-in for the nomination, or even predicting she’ll run. I’m just arguing that if she does, she could break the mold for non-incumbent candidates of the modern era.” Uh…maybe not.

Now here’s someone who nailed it — Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government faculty member Nicco Mele, who was also “Howard Dean’s webmaster during the former Vermont governor’s 2004 presidential run.” According to Mele, speaking back in April 2013:

The primary lesson of the last four cycles, maybe five cycles, is that the advantages of the establishment are greatly diminished, perhaps completely obliterated,” Mele told POLITICO. “The notion that she can coast to front runner status on her history and contributions to the Democratic Party certainly didn’t hold true in 2008, so I don’t see any reason it’ll hold true in 2016.”

Mele’s main argument is that technology helps float candidates to the top, while the kind of small donors that helped usher President Barack Obama into office like to root for someone new.

…Mele does point out two possible weak spots in his argument. “If Hillary’s running against other household names – Joe Biden and Al Gore, for instance – then maybe she has a chance,” Mele said. “But if she’s running against an insurgent that nobody has ever heard of who at least has a little bit of charisma and a compelling story and executes online, then she has no advantage.” And the allure of a first female president could trump his analysis. “It may be that the first woman president trumps digital insurgency,” says Mele. “But I doubt it.”

There’s a long way to go, but right now Mele’s predictions made back in early 2013 are looking pretty darned accurate.

One who completely missed what’s happening is Nate Cohn of the New York Times. Writing in March of this year, Cohn argued that “Hillary Clinton is a primary candidate whose strength has little precedent, one who seems poised to sweep the primaries without facing any serious challenge.” Again, it’s quite possible – even probable – that Clinton will end up winning the Democratic nomination, but the concept that her strength was almost without precedent, and that she would “sweep the primaries without facing any serious challenge” is turning out to be far off base.

Closer to home, UVA political science Professor Larry Sabato looked into his “crystal ball” in February 2014 and saw the Republican field as having “nothing but questions.” That’s looking like a strong prediction at this point. What’s not looking as strong are Sabato’s predictions for the leading Republican candidates: Scott Walker, Rand Paul and Chris Christie in his “first tier;” Marco Rubio, Ted Cruz and John Kasich in his “second tier;” Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee and Paul Ryan as “wild cards;” Rick Santorum and Rick Perry as “also rans.” Instead, according to the Real Clear Politics polling average, right now it’s looking more like Trump as the frontrunner for the GOP nomination, with Jeb Bush as the runner up (although looking shakier recently) and a bunch of others – Walker, Rubio, Carson, Huckabee, Cruz, Paul, Fiorina, etc. – in the running. As for Sabato’s “tiers,” they’ve basically been scrambled, rearranged, thrown into disarray, etc.

On the Democratic side, Sabato’s “crystal ball” in February 2014 had Hillary Clinton alone in the “first tier,” noting that she “[c]an potentially scare away most/all strong opponents if she runs (unlike ’08).” After that, Sabato had Joe Biden alone in the “second tier,” with Martin O’Malley and Brian Schweitzer in the “third tier,” Howard Dean as a “wild card” and several others (Cuomo, Warren, Warner, Gillibrand) who might consider running only if Clinton didn’t run. There was no mention of Sanders, Webb or Chafee at that point, let alone that Sanders would be drawing crowds of 20,000 people or whatever in the summer of 2015. In fairness, I’m not sure ANYONE saw that one coming.

Bottom line: from this limited sampling, most political pundits were assuming essentially a coronation (of Hillary Clinton) on the Democratic side, with a more wide-open race on the Republican side, and no mention of Bernie Sanders or Donald Trump, arguably the two biggest stories of this race so far. Of course, as the saying goes, “It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future.” Still, it’s striking to me how almost nobody (myself included) saw the populist, anti-establishment “wave” – not to mention the chaos (e.g., 17 Republican candidates)! – coming. So stay tuned…because most likely nobody really knows what will happen next.

On Iran, Cooch Praises Webb; Leading Scientists, Retired Generals and Most Countries Praise Deal

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Also add in 29 Leading Scientists Back Obama on Iran Nuclear Deal along with P5+1 Nations Press Senate Democrats to Support Iran Deal, and note articles in the Israeli press like Netanyahu Must Stop Silencing Intel Chiefs Who Find Iran Deal Acceptable. On the other side are mostly Republicans, who would oppose Obama if he found a cure for cancer; superhawks, who want to “bomb bomb bomb bomb bomb Iran,” and…Jim Webb, for whatever reason. Weird, but the bottom line is this: the thought of being on the same side as Ken Cuccinelli should give anyone the willies, as the guy’s an extremist who has been not just wrong but WILDLY wrong on almost every issue since he burst onto the Virginia political scene.

Wednesday News: Generals Support Iran Deal, Fox Makes Up with Trump, McDonnell Loses Appeal

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Here are a few national and Virginia news headlines, political and otherwise, for Wednesday, August 12. Also, check out top Virginia GOP donor Pat Robertson urging that a concerned grandmother try to get her grandson into a Christian school and away from his atheist father. Alrighty…

*Retired generals, admirals back Iran nuclear deal (So far, retired military people back the deal, as do nuclear scientists and many other experts. Opposing it are mostly Republican hard liners. Who would you trust?)

*How Roger Ailes Picked Trump, and Fox News’ Audience, Over Megyn Kelly (“Fox News chairman Roger Ailes has found himself caught between Donald Trump, who has the full backing of Fox’s misogynist audience, and Megyn Kelly, the star anchor whom Ailes has nurtured and sees as the key to reaching younger viewers.”)

*Hillary Clinton agrees to provide private e-mail server to FBI

*Jeb Bush’s attack on Hillary Clinton could backfire (“Jeb’s bid to blame Hillary for the rise of the Islamic State is fraught with peril.” It’s also complete horse****.)

*China Weakens Its Currency Further

*Democrats target Va. as they push to break down voting restrictions

*WATCH: British reporter in Ferguson finds whites openly carrying rifles and peaceful blacks being arrested

*Hillary Clinton meets with Black Lives Matter protesters

*Jeb’s Iraq revisionism: His idiot brother wrecked the place, but it’s all Obama’s fault (Kinda like Republicans wrecked the economy and Democrats saved it but somehow it’s all Democrats’ fault.)

*Obama’s Iran deal continues to look safe, despite opposition

*Jim Gilmore might not make cut for CNN debate (You mean with his whopping ZERO percent in the polls? LOL)

*Fight over climate change policy comes to Va. as House Republicans dig in (Disgraceful.)

*Va. GOP leaders say they are sticking with Supreme Court pick

*A look at redistricting when protecting incumbents isn’t job No. 1

*On the road again: Va. Gov. McAuliffe is Texas bound

*Release the ABC investigation

*U.S. Rep. Scott says voting is key to ensuring good policing

*Former Gov. Bob McDonnell to appeal to U.S. Supreme Court

*Fairfax Co. Releases Decade Worth of Police Shooting Details

*State BOE punts on voter registration form changes (“The state Board of Elections will go back to the drawing board on its plan to rework voter registration forms after a conservative uprising, and concerns from local registrars, over once-proposed changes.”)

*Taxpayer costs mount in Virginia voting lawsuits

*Rambo: Clean power plan can mean smarter energy decisions for Virginia

*For second year in a row, test scores soar at low-income Arlington school

*Dodgers stymie the Nationals, 3-0 (Seems like every time they face a top-notch pitcher, their hitting dries up.)

*D.C. area forecast: Lots of sunshine and lower humidity throughout the next few days