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Cuccinelli Makes First Smart 2013 Play: LaCivita Lives?

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by Paul Goldman

Tomorrow, 200-proof politics will have an analysis of the 2013 GUV race published in a highly respected national venue for such op-ed columns. It was written prior to GOP candidate Ken Cuccinelli’s decision to release 8 years of his tax returns. The op-ed is not written from a tactical point of view, focusing on a strategic aspect of national importance.  

But tactical moves can be as important, depending on where the “play” fits on the chess board. We find the decision to release 8 years of tax returns curious, as opposed to all the years when he was in public office, a more defining line perhaps. However, it does appear Virginia columnists, Democrats and others are missing the “play” here from Cuccinelli.

It is not about getting Terry to release his tax returns in hopes of finding something. Cuccinelli’s campaign guy, Chris LaCivita, a tough player who rose to fame with the “Swift Boating” of John Kerry in 2004, has proven that he only needs stuff freely available over the Internet. Truth v. fiction v. whatever, the political game has been reduced to the lowest common denominator. Almost anything passes the “smell” test right now. If the tax returns have some other stuff, Chris will not mind. But he has all the stuff he feels he needs right now to do what he has been hired to do. So does Terry’s side. This is not a kid’s game.

So what’s the tactical play then? It is getting the media to prove it doesn’t have a double standard in the election. And as we have said before: You can’t disprove a negative by words alone. You got to walk the walk.

Or put another way: Cuccinelli’s political guy realizes his candidate can’t win right now. Why? In the end, campaigns are competing entities to come up with the best “narrative” on the “choice” before the voters.

Wilder ran in 1989 using the slogan “We have come too far to turn back now.” Warner and Kaine took it and reshaped it to their own use. It has been the best Dem argument for 25 years: We are the party of the New Virginia, the other side is the Old Virginia. When Republicans crack that narrative, they have won. When they can’t, they have lost. It is a winning argument, all other things being equal, because it appeals to key swing voters.

Cuccinelli’s strategy guy has figured this out: The Mainstream Media are “all-in”  24/7 saying Cuccinelli will take us back. There is nothing Cuccinelli can do to change their view. Even the GOP Richmond Times Dispatch has broken with Cuccinelli over “gay rights”, feeling he will take the state back. Cuccinelli seems to almost want to give the press fodder for this analysis. He wears the label as a badge of honor. It makes no political sense. But it is what it is.

So Chris LaCivita knows one thing: He can’t win if the mainstream media has their foot on Cuccinelli’s neck, making it impossible for him to get off the canvass. And he can’t win if his candidate seems almost wanting to dare the mainstream media to push this narrative. .  

His tactical option: He needs to figure out a way to “discredit” the media narrative with his guy’s help! That ain’t easy. He doesn’t have a lot of choices. For example, Cuccinelli refused to go after the for-profit schools where the Post is vulnerable. By letting the Post off the hook, he has basically let the mainstream media in the state off the hook.

By continuing to play AG – and having politically tone-deaf people make his decisions for him in that office – Cuccinelli has hurt himself repeatedly this past months. But again, he doesn’t seem to care.

Thus leaving LaCivita: The tax return issue, never used before in Virginia, unclear whether anyone cares. But last year, the Mainstream media insisted that Romney release his tax returns. So did Democrats. Indeed it was the mainstream media that drove the story if you go back and look.

Was it a major factor in the end, the tax returns? No. But it did drive the narrative for a while. It gave the media something to hit Romney on and the Obama campaign. Remember: It wasn’t until the 47% video fiasco that Romney actually did “feed the beast” by releasing enough tax stuff to force them to stop demanding more. So the tax thing went on for months, and the Obama campaign used it smartly to keep Romney off his feet when need be.

One thing I do know about the VA media: They believe they are fair and balanced. They will do a lot to protect that image. If Cuccinelli is believed to be making progress cracking that image, the media will react to prove he is wrong. They will go after Terry just to prove their fairness. Terry’s tax returns are no one’s business, I said that about Romney. But it is 200-proof politics time now for a GUV candidate.

My prediction: Unless Cuccinelli’s tax returns blow up in his face, Terry will follow Romney and release some tax returns.

Why? Because if he doesn’t, it goes against his narrative of being a pragmatic business guy who will move things forward and not let the state be held hostage to stubborn political ideology. And because by not doing it, he puts the mainstream media in a no-win posture. They will have to hammer him on something to prove they are being fair. Why risk their picking on a more damaging issue because the are out to prove something? Too risky.

And because, on balance, Cuccinelli took the low-hanging fruit. This was the easiest issue for him. So why not give it to him and move on? The longer you wait, the greater the chance your refusal gets trapped by current events and you are faced with a lot riskier political decision. he press is no candidate’s friend in the final analysis. They play be different rules.

It is all about risk vs reward. Terry should release his taxes on May 1, when Virginian’s have to pay their taxes. Put out how much he has paid in VA taxes over the years. That will answer Cuccinelli and also show Terry’s connection to Virginia. The next day, Terry hits Cuccinelli on something big or makes a big announcement of support.

As our piece shows tomorrow, the 2013 election isn’t going to be decided on these kinds of sidebar issues unless the political guys for each side make a big miscalculation.  

Mark Warner – I will no longer support you

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(Mark Warner richly deserves this not just because of his egregious votes yesterday, but for his constant bashing of progressives, for his support of mountaintop removal coal mining and the Keystone XL pipeline, etc. Also note, I added the photo, courtesy of DonkeyHotey’s Flickr stream. – promoted by lowkell)

Mark Warner voted against the assault weapons ban. Mark Warner voted against limiting the size of magazines. Mark Warner is the most popular political figure in Virginia, and could have voted for both measures without in any way jeopardizing his reelection in 2014

Mark Warner is from a state that saw the slaughter at Virginia Tech.  Cho used both ten and fifteen round magazines for his two handguns.  Think how much damage he did.  Think how much more he might have been able to do had he had 30 round magazines and had to change less frequently.

I have been involved in Democratic politics in Virginia including at a statewide level. Mark Warner is considered the 800 pound gorilla of Virginia Democratic politics. In a sense my taking this stand may make me toxic in Virginia politics.

I don’t care.

It does not matter that neither of these amendments were going to pass. I rely on the words of Martin Luther King, Jr.:

There comes a time when one must take a position that is neither safe, nor politic, nor popular, but he must take it because conscience tells him it is right.

It matters not to me whether Mark Warner believes the baloney of the gun lobby or merely lacks the guts to stand up for what is right.  What is right is to stop the slaughter.

If you are unwilling to step up to that, I am unwilling to offer you my support, my money or my vote.

President Obama Strikes a Blow in the Wake of the Senate Failure

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( – promoted by lowkell)

Immediately after watching the President’s forceful remarks after the Senate failed to pass the gun bill, I posted, with some enthusiasm, about his statement:

He spoke about the willful lies from the gun lobby. He spoke about 90% of Republicans voting against something 90% of the American people want. He spoke about the abuse of the filibuster rule.

I’d have had him stress these points more than he did, but he did come out swinging. Which is what we need from him.

Stand and fight.

Then I got to wondering:  maybe Obama should have given some of that speech BEFORE the vote, rather than after. By talking about how the gun lobby was “willfully lying,” and how the Republicans were poised to thwart the will of the American people, perhaps he could have changed the field of forces enough to get the bill passed.

Maybe he could have. But then I saw that doing it AFTER, as he did, was what I would have advised.

Why? Because the bill itself was not all that much of an accomplishment. Yes, it would constitute “progress,” but very minor progress: how big a deal could it be if Wayne LaPierre was all for it back in 1999?* Besides which, even if it passed in the Senate, how likely was it that it could get past the Republican-dominated House?

So getting the bill passed through the Senate isn’t something that should be given overwhelming weight.

On the other hand, USING THIS FAILURE TO STRIKE A BLOW against the destructive force– that’s important.

My guess is that President Obama was thinking that way in coming up with his strategy.

If one looks at his remarks, they are strongly geared to the idea of people getting passionate enough, and organized enough, to influence the elections coming up. All the talk was about the gun issue, and changing the nature of the political forces on the politicians. But the EFFECT would inevitably be broader.

If we replace all those politicians who vote with the willful liars on this issue, we drain away Republican power. My guess is he went out there thinking not just of the gun issue, and not just of the Senators who voted wrong, but of 2014 and the need to end Republican control of the House of Representatives.

After all, what can be accomplished in this country so long as John Boehner’s caucus has to sign off on any legislation that gets enacted.

Striking the blow using an issue on which 90% of the American people are on the president’s side is good. But the blows of this sort have to keep coming, which means that he cannot require that kind of overwhelming public support on every issue that he employs.

But choosing the long-term politics over the immediate legislation looks to me like the strategically right choice.

* I would like to ask: why is it that LaPierre and the NRA worked to defeat in 2013 what we can see on video that LaPierre supported in 1999? My guess is that a good answer would tell us something important about what’s happened in the realm of politics –about the rise of the “It”– in the intervening fourteen years.

Andy Schmookler, an award-winning author, political commentator, radio talk-show host, and teacher, was the Democratic nominee for Congress from Virginia’s 6th District.  He is the author of various books including The Parable of the Tribes:  The Problem of Power in Social Evolution.  

James Madison Responds to Senate Gun Votes, Reminds America of the Dangers of Faction

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Following yesterday’s disgraceful votes in the U.S. Senate, which went against the vast majority (90% in the case of background checks, smaller majorities in the case of limits on the number of bullets, assault weapons, etc.), I thought a few thoughts from Founding Father James Madison might be relevant.

It was November 22, 1787, but it might as well have been yesterday, when Madison talked about the need for safeguards against domestic factions, like uh…the NRA? Here’s Founding Father James Madison, speaking to us across the ages:

*”By a faction, I understand a number of citizens, whether amounting to a majority or a minority of the whole, who are united and actuated by some common impulse of passion, or of interest, adversed to the rights of other citizens, or to the permanent and aggregate interests of the community.” (That describes the NRA and other gun groups, which have a huge edge in passion over the MUCH larger number of Americans who want reasonable limits on gun ownership, firepower, etc. in this country, to a “t.”)

*”It is in vain to say that enlightened statesmen will be able to adjust these clashing interests, and render them all subservient to the public good. Enlightened statesmen will not always be at the helm.” (You can say THAT again!)

*”…the causes of faction cannot be removed, and that relief is only to be sought in the means of controlling its effects.” (That’s the question; in this case, they weren’t removed OR controlled in their “adverse” effects.)

*”If a faction consists of less than a majority, relief is supplied by the republican principle, which enables the majority to defeat its sinister views by regular vote. It may clog the administration, it may convulse the society; but it will be unable to execute and mask its violence under the forms of the Constitution.”  (That’s the answer right there: we need to toss out the Senators holding these “sinister views,” who are attempting to “mask” their “violence under the forms of the Constitution.”)

*”In the extent and proper structure of the Union, therefore, we behold a republican remedy for the diseases most incident to republican government.” (The question today is, does this remedy still work in an era of massive corporate power and essentially unlimited ability of wealthy interests to purchase and subvert our political system? Did the Founding Fathers, as brilliant as they were, ever foresee Citizens United? Did they ever foresee the 2nd Amendment, which stressed well-ordered militias in the context of an agrarian society with no standing army, with low-accuracy and low-firepower muskets (no assault rifles with 100-bullet magazines or whatever in 1787), and with the imminent threat of war with the most powerful empire on earth, being twisted the way it has been by the Scalia/Alito/Thomas/Roberts Supreme Court? I doubt it. So now, the question is, can the system created by James Madison et al nearly 230 years ago adapt, and ultimately survive, at a time when the country is so wildly different – economically, technologically, you name it – from the 1770s? We’ll find out, but I’d also remind everyone that it’s OUR responsibility as citizens to fight for the vision of America we believe in. Nobody else is going to do it for us. But one thing’s for sure: the monomaniacally-focused factions which Madison warned about are still here, whether it’s the NRA or whoever, and we’ve still got to figure out how to deal with their subversion of our Republic…)

P.S. One question: can the power of one faction (e.g., Michael Bloomberg and perhaps $100 million, $500 million of his money spent in the 2013 and 2014 elections) counteract the power of another faction (the gun lobby)?

Shad Planking May Have Seen Its Day

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 photo c956111b-3444-45e5-a3ec-b560ee96d1ef_zps180c9dc1.jpgShad Planking was a disappointment yesterday for any of a number of reasons. Leading up to the event, the sponsors failed to stem years of cumulative attendee alienation. Responding to criticism of extremism among participants, the Ruritans alienated the other half. Ken Cuccinelli’s keynote was as flat as the shad.

What was clear was that the bluster of Tea Party insurgents and in-your-face Confederate flag-waving misfits in recent years put off a large portion of the politically motivated who came for a more civil kind of camaraderie. The Ruritan Club’s charitable efforts to raise money for local causes was wounded by this turn of events. Make no mistake, this was a self-inflicted wound.

Ruritan officials took issue with Mo Elleithee’s assessment that the event has outlived its relevance, claiming it will live on another 65 years. Apparently the fact that the proceeds go to charity is supposed to excuse the inhospitable behavior that has been tolerated too long.

As anyone who has attended regularly knows, when the dinner bell rings there is always a rush to get in line for the featured meal. But a crowd that was less than 60% of last year’s was underwhelming. As a measure of success, the meal became a no wait, all you can eat event, there was so much remaining to be consumed.

 photo 3ec8c9c9-2a02-4124-9ebe-e1264c89900c_zps43cc40a2.jpgFor their part, the Ruritans tried to stomp out any confederate frenzy. The stars and bars displays were confined to a corner near the porta potties away from the midway lined with campaign tents, many, including Cuccunelli’s hawking free beer. Ruritan officials circulated through the crowd, stopping anyone with a flag; requiring them to roll them up and put them away if outside the free rebel quarter (more like eighth).

For his part, the Attorney General’s keynote was sparsely attended. Ken did not connect effectively with the general audience and not that much of the crowd was interested enough to come to the stage area to listen. In years past, a front row view was a premium. This year there was room to stretch…and yawn.

While both Mark Obenshain and and Rob Bell were in attendance, the Republicans who were missing were more notable. Lieutenant Governor Bill Bolling and Republican Party Chairman Pat Mullins found no reason to grace the event. This, more than the absence of Democrats, may signal the end of the plank.

Virginia News Headlines: Thursday Morning

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Here are a few Virginia (and national) news headlines, political and otherwise, for Thursday, April 18.

*Bombing suspect shown on camera, official says (“Investigators have isolated ­images of a suspect carrying and perhaps dropping a black bag believed to have held one of two bombs.”)

*Every proposal on gun control fails in Senate (Vote shows gulf between D.C., U.S.)

*The Senate misfires on gun control (If there was any doubt before, there’s none now: our system – the Senate’s 60 vote threshold, the obscene amount of money in politics, etc. – is fundamentally broken.)

*Cowards on Capitol Hill (“In the Senate’s gun bill vote, courage was distressingly hard to come by.”)

*Torture damages U.S. credibility

*Wemple: CNN’s double screwup on Boston (CNN is doing its best to be as pathetically bad as Faux “News.”)

*Cuccinelli financial report turns up questions about donor (Whoops!)

*Democrats unrelenting on Cuccinelli over Star Scientific (And rightfully so.)

*Terry McAuliffe Makes His Case (“A Q&A with gubernatorial candidate Terry McAuliffe.”)

*Virginia GOP calls for McAuliffe to release tax returns (“David Winston, a Republican pollster, said broadsides against McAuliffe over his taxes or his business record won’t have a big impact on the race.”)

*Cuccinelli releases tax returns, GOP demands McAuliffe response

*Cuccinelli goes after McAuliffe, Green Tech at Shad Planking (Shocker, huh? Yawn.)

*Cuccinelli yields on Virginia roads (“GOP gubernatorial candidate tells crowd at Shad Planking that repeal of transportation overhaul is futile.”)

*Democratic predecessor defends Cuccinelli (Weird.)

*Warner: Debt worse threat than terror (“‘The broader point is one he’s been making for some time, but he acknowledges the timing of these remarks was tone-deaf,’ Warner spokesman Kevin Hall said.” Wow, you can say that again!!!)

*Women’s group emerges to boost Ken Cuccinelli’s campaign in Virginia (Yeah, it’s formed by the extremist, anti-choice Susan B. Anthony List. Nice.)

*Special election Aug. 6 for Chesapeake Senate seat

*Dulles Rail board to pick contractor for project’s second phase

*Detwiler delivers as Nats rebound

Video: President Obama Responds to Senate Rejection of Background Checks

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“President Obama makes a statement from the Rose Garden following the Senate’s vote to block common-sense measures to reduce gun violence. April 17, 2013.” Among other comments, a rightfully angry President Obama called this a “shameful day for Washington,” asked “who are we here to represent?”, said “the American people are trying to figure out how can something have 90 percent support and yet not happen,” and noted today’s Senate #FAIL “came down to politics – the worry that that vocal minority of gun owners would come after them in future elections.”

Also, for the record, here’s how Virginia’s two U.S. Senators voted on Manchin-Toomey and the other gun measures today. Every one of these was rejected, as they couldn’t reach 60 votes for “cloture.” Great Democracy we’ve got, huh?

1. Manchin-Toomey (background checks): Warner and Kaine both voted “aye,” along with the vast majority of Democrats.

2. Grassley amendment: Warner and Kaine both voted “nay,” along with the vast majority of Democrats.

3. Leahy amendment (“To increase public safety by punishing and deterring firearms trafficking.”): Kaine and Warner both voted “aye,” as did all Democrats.

4. Cornyn amendment (“To allow reciprocity for the carrying of certain concealed firearms.”): Kaine voted “nay,” along with the vast majority of Democrats; Warner voted “aye,” as did all Republicans except for Senator Kirk of Illinois. Thanks to Tim Kaine. Huge #FAIL to Mark Warner on this one. Ugh.

5. Feinstein amendment (“To regulate assault weapons, to ensure that the right to keep and bear arms is not unlimited, and for other purposes.”): Kaine voted “aye,” Warner once again voted “nay.” Again, thanks to Tim Kaine, another huge #FAIL to Mark Warner. Godawful.

6. Burr amendment (“To protect the Second Amendment rights of veterans and their families.”): Kaine and Warner both voted “nay,” along with most Democrats.

7. Lautenberg amendment (“To regulate large capacity ammunition feeding devices.”): Kaine voted “aye” with most Democrats; Warner again voted the wrong way (“nay”), mostly with Republicans. Blech.

Del. Morrissey Writes Cuccinelli, McDonnell Citing Statute on Star Scienitific Case

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Paul Goldman just emailed to say, “Delegate Joe Morrissey, citing state statutes, alerts the AG and the GUV to possible problems with how special counsel was appointed in the Star Scientific tax case.”

April 17, 2013

The Honorable Ken Cuccinelli,

Attorney General of Virginia

900 East Main Street

Richmond, Virginia 23219

RE:   IMPROPER APPOINTMENT OF ATTORNEYS IN COMMONWEALTH v. STAR SCIENTIFIC MATTER

Dear General Cuccinelli:

I hope that this letter finds you well and enjoying this pleasant spring weather.  With respect to the above referenced matter, a reading of §2.2-510 of the Code of Virginia, 1950, as amended, reveals that your recent appointment of Mr. Rosenthal and Mr. Hurd to represent the Commonwealth in the state tax lawsuit against Star Scientific is improper and in violation of the Virginia Code.  

As you are aware, §2.2-510 of the Code sets forth the parameters as to when and how the Attorney General can appoint special counsel to represent either the Commonwealth of Virginia or one of its departments, institutions, agencies, etc.

In the instant matter, it is clear that §2.2-510 (4) controls.  That code section reads as follows:

“In cases where the Attorney General certifies to the Governor that it would be improper for the Attorney General’s office to render legal services due to a conflict of interest, or that he is unable to render certain legal services, the Governor may employee special counsel [emphasis added] or other assistance to render such services that may be necessary”

The other provisions under §2.2-510 (1), (2), (3), and (5) respectively, simply do not apply.  Specifically, in the matter involving Star Scientific, it is not the case that the Attorney General’s office is “unable to render such service” or that it is “uneconomical for the Attorney General to render such services.” Rather, it is clear that due to your association with Star Scientific (i.e. recipient of campaign funds, stockowner, recipient of lodging, etc.), you have a conflict.  In fact, if you were to solicit an opinion from the Virginia State Bar, they would most certainly opine that you and your office should recuse itself from the prosecution of any matter involving Star Scientific because of your conflict.

General Cuccinelli, conflicts occur all the time and I am not suggesting any improper or untoward behavior by either you or your office.  However, I am strongly suggesting that the manner in which you went about appointing counsel is contrary to the law and must be corrected.  

§2.2-510 (4) clearly states that it is the Governor – and not the Attorney General – that must employ special counsel.  Accordingly, since you, and not the Governor, did the appointment of Mr. Rosenthal and Mr. Hurd (two well-known and well-respected attorneys), any actions taken by them in the matter against Star Scientific could be challenged due to the failure to follow the law in their respective appointment.  Indeed, if the ultimate Court ruling went against Star Scientific, they could challenge any adverse decision due to the initial improper appointment of Messrs. Rosenthal and Hurd.

Finally, I would be remiss if I did not address the following.  The appointment of special counsel by the Governor under §2.2-510 (4) begs the following question.  What if the Governor, himself, has a conflict with Star Scientific? (Unquestionably, he does.)  In that case, I believe that the Governor should do what circuit courts routinely do and write the Supreme Court and request the appointment of independent special counsel.  

General Cuccinelli, I am not writing this letter to bring you any unwanted embarrassment or criticism.  At no time have I ever suggested that you – or the Governor for that matter – have done anything improper.  Further, unlike some of my democratic colleagues, I am not suggesting a Federal investigation.  However, as a member of the Virginia General Assembly, I am specifically stating that the appointment process was contrary to and inconsistent with Virginia law and must be addressed immediately.  

Sincerely yours,

Joseph D. Morrissey

Representative – 74th District

Cc; The Honorable Robert F. McDonnell, Governor

ENCLOSURE (Virginia Code §2.2-510)

Don’t Let Another Six Years Pass. Call Your Senator Today.

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(P.S. I hear that Sen. Mark Warner is considering voting yes on the Cornyn amendment (see below for the abysmal details from Mayors Against Illegal Guns). Please tweet @markwarner or call him at 202-224-2023 and tell him to VOTE NO on the Cornyn amendment! Thanks. – promoted by lowkell)

UPDATE 4:30 pm: So, the U.S. Senate just voted 54-46 for a bill supported by 85%-90% of the U.S. public, yet it fails because it requires 60 votes to break a filibuster, and the NRA apparently trumps 85%-90% of the American public. #RIPAmericanDemocracy

Six years ago, my daughter Emily was in French class at Virginia Tech when a gunman opened fire, ultimately killing 32 students and staff members. Emily was shot twice in the back of the head but survived.

In the wake of our collective horror and shock, as we asked how can something like this happen, a review panel was assembled by then-Governor Tim Kaine to figure out what needed to change so that never again would this happen.

That review panel, among other things, recommended universal background checks.

Virginia should require background checks for all firearms sales, including those at gun shows. In an age of widespread information technology, it should not be too difficult for anyone, including private sellers, to contact the Virginia Firearms Transaction Program for a background check that usually only takes minutes before transferring a firearm. The program already processes transactions made by registered dealers at gun shows. The practice should be expanded to all sales. Virginia should also provide an enhanced penalty for guns sold without a background check and later used in a crime.

But six years later, nothing has changed and more than 187,000 people have been killed by guns.

Today, the U.S. Senate is expected to vote on a compromise to improve background checks in this country. Depending on which news report you read, it’ll either be a close vote or it’s going to lose.

However, no matter what happens today, we must keep working and fighting. We can’t let another six years go by without anything changing.

I’m on the Hill today with survivors. Stand alongside those of us from Virginia Tech, Tucson, Aurora and Newtown, and join us by calling your Senator today to ask them to vote yes on the Toomey-Manchin amendment to expand background checks on gun purchases.  

Video: “Bobby” McDonnell’s BFF Pat Robertson Says Gay Rights Activists Out to Destroy Family, God

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Don’t forget, this frothing-at-the-mouth bigot, Pat Robertson, has donated $715,500 over the years to Virginia Republicans, including around $100,000 to the guy he calls his “dear friend” “Bobby” – our fine governor, currently enmeshed in the “hear comes the BRIBE” scandal. What a combo, huh?